Crypto Market Daily — June 12, 2026 (Afternoon)

SpaceX IPO day: SPCX opens at $150, BTC holds $63,794

SpaceX begins trading on Nasdaq today under the ticker SPCX, opening at $150 — an 11% premium over the $135 IPO price — and briefly pushing the company's market cap past $2 trillion.1 The debut is the largest IPO in history, with SpaceX raising $75 billion from the offering.

For crypto markets, the IPO matters beyond the headline. SpaceX holds 18,712 BTC (~$1.19B) on its balance sheet — a Bitcoin treasury position that now has daily price discovery through a publicly traded equity. With SPCX set to qualify for the Nasdaq 100 index in roughly 15 days, institutional rebalancing flows into SpaceX could become an indirect BTC holding indicator to watch.

June 12, 2026 — 16:00 UTC+8

BTC

$63,794

ETH

$1,668

Fear & Greed

12 — Extreme Fear

BTC Dominance

56.4%

Total Mkt Cap

$2.26T

統計カードを読み込んでいます…

BTC: tracking $63,794 with resistance overhead

Bitcoin trades at $63,794 with a 24-hour gain of 1.91%, according to CoinGecko data as of 16:00 UTC+8.2 That puts it just above the $63,600 level cited as a near-term ceiling in this morning's edition, but short of the $64,100–$65,000 resistance band noted in the channel's prior analysis.

BTC's price action on June 12 is being parsed in two directions simultaneously:

The SPCX IPO pop is broadly risk-positive, with Nasdaq futures up on the day and equity sentiment constructive.
The underlying technical structure remains cautious: BTC sits below its 200-day EMA (~$70,590), and RSI around 55 is neutral rather than bullish.3

The Economic Times, citing Vikram Subburaj (Giottus CEO), notes the market is trading near Fear & Greed levels last seen in mid-2022, when BTC bottomed around $17,000 — though the macro backdrop today is materially different, with institutional ETF infrastructure in place.4

ETH: holding $1,668, still sub-$1,800

Ethereum trades at $1,668 (+1.60%), with a market cap of $201.3 billion.5 The $1,540 support level remains intact, and the next meaningful resistance sits above $1,800.

One notable Ethereum-adjacent development: Fidelity has selected Uniswap as the liquidity infrastructure for its FIDD stablecoin. Liquidity pools are live on-chain.6 This is a direct institutional signal for Ethereum-based DeFi, reinforcing that the ecosystem is still the destination for large asset managers building on-chain.

ETH ETF flows for June 12 are not yet published on Farside — the table shows blank entries across all funds, consistent with the T+1 publication lag.

BTC ETF flows: June 11 revised lower

The most recent Farside-sourced BTC ETF data is a net outflow of –$22.5M on June 11.3 IBIT posted +$30.3M inflows; ARKB led outflows at –$27.2M and HODL –$14.8M.

This is a material revision from the preliminary reading reported this morning (+$164.6M). The channel has observed this pattern repeatedly: Farside often posts significant revisions hours after partial data goes up. The June 11 partial figure of +$164.6M (IBIT +$131.0M) does not match the finalized reading per the Farside UK X post.

June 12 BTC ETF flows are not yet available. A notable structural development: BlackRock has filed Form 8-A for a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (ticker: BITA), which analysts expect to begin trading as early as next Thursday.6

Date	BTC ETF net flow
Jun 11	–$22.5M (revised)
Jun 10	+$431.2M
Jun 9	+$386.2M
Jun 6	–$47.8M
Jun 5	–$278.4M

Source: Farside Investors. Jun 11 figure per Farside UK X post; Jun 12 pending.

チャートを読み込んでいます…

Altcoin performance

Major coins followed BTC higher. The standout among larger-caps is STG (Stargate Finance): the cross-chain liquidity protocol is up 12–37% across the day on various data snapshots, with $128M–$130M in 24-hour volume.7

Coin	Price	24h change
SOL	$67.52	+2.91%
XRP	$1.13	+1.72%
BNB	$606.84	+1.40%
DOGE	$0.0879	+3.54%
ADA	$0.172	+3.35%

Among smaller-caps, OFFICIAL TRUMP gained +21.6%, and Humanity (H) added +44.8%, both on elevated volume.7 XMR (Monero) extended yesterday's squeeze, trading above $400 with +17% on the day.6

DeFi outperformed the broader market today, up 5.2% as a sector (vs. total market +1.62%), with market cap at $62.4B.

Fear & Greed: 12 — Extreme Fear, day 10+

The index reads 12 (Extreme Fear) for the second consecutive day, unchanged from yesterday.8 The gauge has been pinned between 8 and 12 for over 10 days — a compressed range. On a month-over-month basis this is a sharp drop from 42 in mid-May. The reading has not moved despite three consecutive days of BTC ETF inflows (Jun 9–11 per prior partial data). Whether today's SPCX IPO optimism translates into a Fear & Greed reset will be visible in tomorrow's reading.

Macro: SpaceX IPO, Iran deal framework, equities up

SpaceX makes Nasdaq debut at $150 after pricing at $135 — SpaceX opens at $150 on Nasdaq on June 12. 1

Three macro items drove the tape today:

SpaceX IPO: SPCX opened at $150 on Nasdaq, valuing the company at ~$1.77T at the IPO price. Intraday price action pushed above $160, briefly crossing $2T.1 Retail participated at unusually high levels (~$15B of the $75B raised came from individual investors). Gwynne Shotwell rang the Nasdaq opening bell; Musk participated remotely from Texas.
Iran deal framework: Trump's cancellation of a planned Iran strike — announced yesterday — was followed today by a multilateral deal framework. Maritime blockades remain pending a final agreement.6 Risk assets held the resulting gains from yesterday (oil –3%, Nasdaq +2.4%, S&P +1.8%).
Fed watch: FOMC meets June 16–17. May PPI came in at +6.5% YoY headline (energy-driven; core at +5.1% YoY below ~5.2% consensus). May CPI printed at +4.2% YoY in-line. Both readings leave the "hold" case intact. 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.47%.

BTC dominance is 56.4%; total crypto market cap is $2.26 trillion (+1.62% on the day).9

Other developments

Bitcoin Core 31.0 privacy flaw: The -privatebroadcast feature leaks IP addresses under certain network conditions. A fix arrives in version 31.1; affected users are advised to disable the feature now.6
NFTfi shuts down: The NFT lending protocol — which processed $737M in loans over 6 years — will fully close by August 31, citing a shrinking market.
Avalanche Treasury Co (AVAT): Debuted on Nasdaq holding 15 million AVAX tokens. Unlike MicroStrategy-style single-asset vehicles, AVAT invests across the Avalanche ecosystem.
SEC and Reg NMS Rule 611: The SEC's proposed repeal could create compliance space for on-chain stock trading and AMMs. A 60-day public comment period has begun.

Signals to watch: June 12–14

SPCX post-open direction: If SPCX holds above $150 through close, it establishes a premium to IPO price as the baseline. A fade below $140 would introduce uncertainty about whether the SpaceX BTC treasury narrative turns into a directional drag on BTC sentiment.
Farside Jun 11 final + Jun 12 BTC ETF data: The –$22.5M revision on June 11 breaks three days of inflows. Watch whether June 12 data (due Friday evening or Saturday) shows a return to buying or confirms a trend shift. BlackRock BITA filing is a medium-term inflow catalyst.
Fear & Greed reset: Ten-plus days at 8–12 is historically unusual compression. Either the index continues lower (capitulation signal) or a snap recovery happens fast. Friday's sentiment data will be the first read on whether the SPCX IPO day changed anything.